Chechen leader Kadyrov is not in Kiev

He said he was in Ukraine but in Grozny, in his country. Confirmations on Syrian volunteers. In the recruitment involved influential people in Damascus

Ramzan Kadyrov released a video on Monday claiming it was recorded north of Kiev. In fact he was in uniform, with a helmet, surrounded by his men. Yesterday he reappeared in his capital where he received a visit from the secretary of the Russian Security Council, Nikolai Patrushev
. The double appearance made us think of a bluff, with the Chechen dictator eager to show off by making believe he was on the front line. Or it was there for real, maybe on a different date. The leader is the man of surprises, used to theatrical gestures. Sorties not always welcome in Moscow. Indeed, according to expert Kamil Galeev, all this public activism would have annoyed his Moscow clients. Even if they need his soldiers. The staff need elements that perform the role of guardians. When Putin sent the contingent to Assad’s rescue he later involved the despot’s units. Who have carried out the function of military police, patrolling villages and cities in the Arab country. A role linked to past experiences. A Caucasian version of the Wagner security company, mobilized in Syria, Libya and the African theater. At the same time, the nearly 10,000 Chechens deployed are useful for integrating a device short of elements.

The other task

Then there is the possibility that the militiamen transform themselves into disciplinary companies to put fragile and defectors back into the ranks. a simple hypothesis. Perhaps emphasized by the episodes where the military abandoned their vehicles without firing a shot. Or inflated by war propaganda. Which also involved Kadyrov’s men: it was written that his officers, on the eve, would have expressed doubts about the motivations of some departments, unwilling to fire on the enemy. And the news of the visit (true or false) to Ukrainian soil could also represent an action to galvanize the units after the killing of numerous followers.

The options

From the Chechens we pass to the Syrians who would be hired in large numbers, with some hundreds already arrived at the border with the Donbass. To do what? Here too we have options: A) Some have argued that they would not be suitable and their participation would be counterproductive. B) Others warn: they do not have sufficient preparation to face the Ukrainians. C) In the end Moscow will have to use them because it cannot do without them if it wants to garrison large portions of the territory. Several analysts predict this. With the cynical remark: the possible losses would have little impact on Russian public opinion. Influential people in Damascus would be involved in the operation. Among them leaders of the al Bustan militia, created by Rami Makhlouf, cousin of Bashar Assad. A billionaire who fell out of favor in the eyes of the Ras, he maintained ties with the Russians. The salary offered to volunteers of about a thousand dollars a month for a period of no less than seven, an important sum for those who live in a disaster country. Another recruiter would be Husam Qaterji, an active figure in the Deir ez Zour region. But we need feedback. The ongoing conflict, information can be a diversion.


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